Mahama’s NDC To Win 2024 Elections –  EIU Forecast

The Economist Intelligence Unit (EIU), an international research and analysis advisory firm, has 

restated its earlier prediction that President John Dramani Mahama and the opposition National 

Democratic Congress (NDC) are poised to emerge victorious in the upcoming elections 

scheduled for December.

In a forecast issued on September 13, 2024, the EIU reinforced its May 2021 prediction, 

expressing a high level of confidence in the NDC’s potential success.

The forecast now lacks the cautious tone that accompanied the previous 2021 prediction, 

attributing the anticipated victory to strong and widespread anti-incumbency sentiment fueled by 

challenging financial and economic conditions

The EIU anticipates a peaceful transfer of powerpost-election, with any disputes likely to be 

resolved by impartial courts, as has been the historical trend, including in the 2020 elections.

The EIU, the research arm of the Economist Group, renowned for the precision of its projections, 

has effectivelyforeseen past electoral outcomes such as the 2016 and 2020 triumphs of the ruling 

New Patriotic Party and Joe Biden’s victory over Donald Trump in the 2020 U.S. presidential 

election.

According to the EIU’s latest assessment, the NDC is expected to securevictories in both the 

Presidential and Parliamentary elections.

The forecast attributes this potential success to widespread disillusionment with the Akufo-Addo 

government’s handling of Ghana’s economy.

The EIU emphasizes that international observers have consistently deemed past elections as free 

and fair, expecting thistrend to persist in the forthcoming polls.

Despite the NDC’s planned demonstrations across the regional capitals citing concerns over the 

electoral roll’s accuracy, the EIU suggests a low transition-related risk to their central forecast.

Public discontent with the incumbent government’s economic policies, ethnic tensions, and 

rising inflation all pose potential risks of unrest around the parliamentary and presidential 

elections in December.

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